V-Lab
Yamada Consulting Group Co GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
29.81%
increased by 0.08%
1 Week
32.60%
increased by 2.87%
1 Month
39.91%
increased by 10.18%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 23, 2001 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5113 | 19.52*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1479 | 16.50*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8117 | 158.91*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0046 | -0.31 |
Persistence:
0.957
Half-life:
16 days
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