V-Lab
Yamada Consulting Group Co GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026
1 Day
30.50%
decreased by 0.76%
1 Week
33.04%
increased by 1.78%
1 Month
39.89%
increased by 8.63%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 07:23 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 23, 2001 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 17-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.4818 | 4.89*** |
| αARCH | 0.1452 | 4.14*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8171 | 41.04*** |
| γleverage | -0.0048 | -0.08 |
0.960
Persistence17d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4818 | 4.89*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1452 | 4.14*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8171 | 41.04*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0048 | -0.08 |
Persistence:
0.960
Half-life:
17 days
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