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Yamada Consulting Group Co GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

20.76%

increased by 0.73%

1 Week

22.75%

increased by 2.72%

1 Month

29.01%

increased by 8.98%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 11:05 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Yamada Consulting Group Co GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 23, 2001 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 68 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 68 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.81 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 68-day half-lifev = 3.81 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run20.1901
0.89
αscore0.1292
14.20***
βpersistence0.9899
89.24***
νDF3.8136
6.33***

0.990

Persistence

68d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

20.1901
0.89
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1292
14.20***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9899
89.24***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.8136
6.33***

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

68 days