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V-Lab

Yamada Consulting Group Co GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

25.90%

increased by 0.10%

1 Week

28.27%

increased by 2.47%

1 Month

35.68%

increased by 9.88%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Yamada Consulting Group Co GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 23, 2001 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 57 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 57 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.88 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

23.9752
2.89***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1259
60.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9879
239.84***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.8807
46.38***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

57 days