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V-Lab

Yamada Consulting Group Co Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

16.75%

decreased by 0.02%

1 Week

18.14%

increased by 1.37%

1 Month

20.73%

increased by 3.96%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Yamada Consulting Group Co S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 23, 2001 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8052
6.68***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1701
9.20***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7198
25.49***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.1865
-1.93*
γ20.1900
1.17
γ3-0.0805
-0.56
γ40.2894
1.83*
γ5-0.4331
-2.18**
γ60.4207
2.15**
γ7-0.3649
-2.19**
γ80.2704
1.57
γ9-0.2727
-1.40
γ100.2945
2.12**

Persistence:

0.890

Half-life:

6 days