V-Lab
Yamada Consulting Group Co Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
16.75%
decreased by 0.02%
1 Week
18.14%
increased by 1.37%
1 Month
20.73%
increased by 3.96%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:59 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 23, 2001 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8052 | 6.68*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1701 | 9.20*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7198 | 25.49*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -0.1865 | -1.93* |
| γ2 | 0.1900 | 1.17 |
| γ3 | -0.0805 | -0.56 |
| γ4 | 0.2894 | 1.83* |
| γ5 | -0.4331 | -2.18** |
| γ6 | 0.4207 | 2.15** |
| γ7 | -0.3649 | -2.19** |
| γ8 | 0.2704 | 1.57 |
| γ9 | -0.2727 | -1.40 |
| γ10 | 0.2945 | 2.12** |
Persistence:
0.890
Half-life:
6 days
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