V-Lab
Kuaishou Technology Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
144.39%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
144.39%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
144.39%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 16, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.992, volatility shocks have a half-life of 83 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3371 | 4.32*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9916 | 1.26 |
Spline Coefficients
K=8
| γ1 | 6.4246 | 0.10 |
| γ2 | -9.1318 | -0.20 |
| γ3 | 4.9718 | 0.19 |
| γ4 | -6.1393 | -1.30 |
| γ5 | 9.4256 | 1.65* |
| γ6 | -9.7028 | -1.10 |
| γ7 | 8.0778 | 0.77 |
| γ8 | -6.4144 | -0.91 |
Persistence:
0.992
Half-life:
83 days
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