Kuaishou Technology Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
151.83%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
151.83%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
151.83%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 16, 2021 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 48 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4748 | 4.97*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9855 | 2.62*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | 10.2259 | 0.26 |
| γ2 | -15.3943 | -0.39 |
| γ3 | 8.8390 | 1.06 |
| γ4 | -5.5163 | -0.65 |
| γ5 | -0.5433 | -0.05 |
| γ6 | 10.0567 | 0.85 |
| γ7 | -15.1007 | -1.37 |
| γ8 | 13.9995 | 1.07 |
| γ9 | -10.1976 | -1.04 |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
48 days
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