Skip to main content
V-Lab

Kuaishou Technology Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

151.83%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

151.83%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Month

151.83%

unchanged at 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Kuaishou Technology S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 16, 2021 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 48 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4748
4.97***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9855
2.62***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ110.2259
0.26
γ2-15.3943
-0.39
γ38.8390
1.06
γ4-5.5163
-0.65
γ5-0.5433
-0.05
γ610.0567
0.85
γ7-15.1007
-1.37
γ813.9995
1.07
γ9-10.1976
-1.04

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

48 days