V-Lab
Kuaishou Technology Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
138.01%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
138.01%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
138.01%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 16, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.7975 | 4.64*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=8
| γ1 | 6.3913 | 1.77* |
| γ2 | -8.6673 | -1.38 |
| γ3 | 4.4473 | 0.79 |
| γ4 | -5.9453 | -1.13 |
| γ5 | 9.5763 | 1.99** |
| γ6 | -10.1562 | -1.33 |
| γ7 | 8.0007 | 0.85 |
| γ8 | -5.9185 | -0.87 |
Persistence:
0.000
Half-life:
-
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