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V-Lab

Kuaishou Technology MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

137.33%

decreased by 4.42%

1 Week

132.55%

decreased by 9.20%

1 Month

118.18%

decreased by 23.57%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Kuaishou Technology MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 16, 2021 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0497
2.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9184
15.60***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0497
-2.27**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6314
0.00

Persistence:

0.943

Half-life:

12 days