V-Lab
Kuaishou Technology MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
88.72%
decreased by 1.72%
1 Week
87.61%
decreased by 2.83%
1 Month
84.71%
decreased by 5.73%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 16, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0444 | 2.18** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9065 | 11.77*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0444 | -1.93* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6064 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.929
Half-life:
9 days
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