V-Lab
Kuaishou Technology MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
73.91%
decreased by 0.42%
1 Week
74.70%
increased by 0.37%
1 Month
76.56%
increased by 2.23%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 16, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0444 | 2.07** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8962 | 10.20*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0444 | -1.83* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.5961 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.918
Half-life:
8 days
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