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V-Lab

Empa Elektronik Sanayi VE Ticaret AS MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

90.01%

increased by 3.23%

1 Week

96.54%

increased by 9.76%

1 Month

104.79%

increased by 18.01%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Empa Elektronik Sanayi VE Ticaret AS MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 26, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.6104
44.42***
γleverage0.3895
33.66***
λ₁tau intercept47.2221

0.805

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6104
44.42***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.3895
33.66***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

47.2221

Persistence:

0.805

Half-life:

3 days