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V-Lab

Empa Elektronik Sanayi VE Ticaret AS Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

112.30%

increased by 3.84%

1 Week

109.04%

increased by 0.58%

1 Month

100.27%

decreased by 8.19%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Empa Elektronik Sanayi VE Ticaret AS APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 5, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets. The volatility power δ = 1.42 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7007
1.60
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0841
5.54***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8548
36.24***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.6227
-4.83***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.4159
6.04***

Persistence:

0.934

Half-life:

10 days