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V-Lab

Arlitech Electronic Corp Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

59.35%

decreased by 5.35%

1 Week

57.67%

decreased by 7.03%

1 Month

53.16%

decreased by 11.54%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 02:37 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Arlitech Electronic Corp APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 26, 2014 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 36% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets. The volatility power δ = 1.83 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4812
12.90***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3032
41.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6419
73.91***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0838
-9.16***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.8328
24.21***

Persistence:

0.930

Half-life:

10 days