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V-Lab

Arlitech Electronic Corp Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

57.33%

decreased by 3.90%

1 Week

56.47%

decreased by 4.76%

1 Month

53.58%

decreased by 7.65%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 03:07 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Arlitech Electronic Corp S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 26, 2014 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 22 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1017
7.08***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1085
5.34***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8600
32.54***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0011
0.61

Persistence:

0.968

Half-life:

22 days