Skip to main content
V-Lab

Ksp Co Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

115.35%

increased by 17.43%

1 Week

112.92%

increased by 15.00%

1 Month

104.01%

increased by 6.09%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ksp Co Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 11, 2007 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 32 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.6979
0.47
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3184
1.89*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6603
25.62***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-1.0273
-0.46
γ22.2168
0.48
γ3-11.7226
-2.61***
γ440.4065
10.06***
γ5-75.9172
-19.21***
γ693.3624
31.70***
γ7-80.7039
-15.58***
γ853.2053
6.39***
γ9-30.4517
-4.18***
γ1013.5363
3.97***

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

32 days