V-Lab
Ksp Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
91.55%
increased by 8.40%
1 Week
95.59%
increased by 12.44%
1 Month
101.28%
increased by 18.13%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 11, 2007 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1114 | 10.88*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5506 | 13.62*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0153 | 0.35 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.3604 | 0.27 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.8022 | 0.13 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.670
Half-life:
2 days
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