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V-Lab

Ksp Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

89.02%

increased by 3.34%

1 Week

88.74%

increased by 3.06%

1 Month

87.70%

increased by 2.02%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ksp Co Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 11, 2007 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 98 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 45% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1252
4.96***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0467
10.52***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9359
144.47***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0208
2.22**

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

98 days