V-Lab
Ksp Co Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
74.75%
decreased by 3.50%
1 Week
70.73%
decreased by 7.52%
1 Month
61.33%
decreased by 16.92%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 12:28 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 11, 2007 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. The volatility power δ = 1.12 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3053 | 12.11*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2565 | 38.52*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7065 | 89.41*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0201 | 1.73* |
δ power Transformation power | 1.1231 | 17.11*** |
Persistence:
0.913
Half-life:
8 days
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