V-Lab
Kajima Corp Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026
1 Day
32.39%
decreased by 1.64%
1 Week
30.19%
decreased by 3.84%
1 Month
25.19%
decreased by 8.84%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 07:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 30, 1990 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. The volatility power δ = 0.73 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0894 | 6.38*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2491 | 19.59*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7205 | 48.38*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0306 | 1.58 |
δ power Transformation power | 0.7332 | 4.98*** |
Persistence:
0.919
Half-life:
8 days
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