V-Lab
Kajima Corp AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
30.68%
increased by 2.24%
1 Week
31.17%
increased by 2.73%
1 Month
32.68%
increased by 4.24%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 08:01 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 3, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.69) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.
σ
AGARCH Model
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Asymmetry: negative returns raise volatility more
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1431 | 4.93*** |
| αARCH | 0.0963 | 10.66*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8696 | 77.61*** |
| γleverage | 0.6915 | 4.52*** |
0.966
Persistence20d
Half-lifeσ
AGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1431 | 4.93*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0963 | 10.66*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8696 | 77.61*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.6915 | 4.52*** |
Persistence:
0.966
Half-life:
20 days
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