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V-Lab
V-Lab

Kajima Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

31.63%

decreased by 0.48%

1 Week

32.62%

increased by 0.51%

1 Month

33.95%

increased by 1.84%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 07:27 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kajima Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 147% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 147% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow26
αARCH0.0768
5.61***
βGARCH0.7140
19.82***
γleverage0.1127
4.40***
λ₁tau intercept0.0282
1.95*
λ₂forecast adj.0.0227
3.28***
λ₃tau persistence0.9719
105.51***

0.847

Persistence

4d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0768
5.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7140
19.82***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1127
4.40***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0282
1.95*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0227
3.28***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9719
105.51***

Persistence:

0.847

Half-life:

4 days