V-Lab
Kajima Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
41.56%
decreased by 0.86%
1 Week
41.40%
decreased by 1.02%
1 Month
41.10%
decreased by 1.32%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 10:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 3, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 148% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0765 | 21.97*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7145 | 73.07*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1136 | 17.62*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0267 | 3.02*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0221 | 4.79*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9728 | 162.57*** |
Persistence:
0.848
Half-life:
4 days
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