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V-Lab
V-Lab

Kajima Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 24th, 2026

1 Day

35.53%

increased by 0.44%

1 Week

36.42%

increased by 1.33%

1 Month

37.79%

increased by 2.70%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 11:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kajima Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 147% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 147% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow26
αARCH0.0766
5.60***
βGARCH0.7145
19.93***
γleverage0.1127
4.40***
λ₁tau intercept0.0270
1.93*
λ₂forecast adj.0.0222
3.29***
λ₃tau persistence0.9726
108.55***

0.847

Persistence

4d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0766
5.60***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7145
19.93***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1127
4.40***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0270
1.93*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0222
3.29***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9726
108.55***

Persistence:

0.847

Half-life:

4 days