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V-Lab

Urbana Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

32.55%

decreased by 0.99%

1 Week

38.71%

increased by 5.17%

1 Month

44.57%

increased by 11.03%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 09:25 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Urbana Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 24, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 97% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2096
19.86***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3775
22.89***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2041
11.33***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.3398
2.79***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2441
5.34***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7469
15.95***

Persistence:

0.689

Half-life:

2 days