Urbana Corp EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
36.63%
increased by 0.21%
1 Week
37.86%
increased by 1.44%
1 Month
42.88%
increased by 6.46%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 22, 2026 at 10:35 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 24, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 129% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0572 | 8.88*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1984 | 34.62*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9854 | 791.51*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0777 | -9.76*** |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
47 days
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