Infineon Technologies AG EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
56.68%
decreased by 2.77%
1 Week
56.47%
decreased by 2.98%
1 Month
55.68%
decreased by 3.77%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 08:45 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 10, 2000 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 158% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 158% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0266 | 3.09*** |
| αARCH | 0.1224 | 9.97*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9880 | 355.41*** |
| γleverage | -0.0541 | -5.03*** |
0.988
Persistence58d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0266 | 3.09*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1224 | 9.97*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9880 | 355.41*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0541 | -5.03*** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
58 days
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