Infineon Technologies AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 16th, 2026
1 Day
57.54%
increased by 4.81%
1 Week
57.31%
increased by 4.58%
1 Month
56.43%
increased by 3.70%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 07:06 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 10, 2000 to Oct 9, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 255% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 255% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0840 | 3.90*** |
| αARCH | 0.0281 | 4.20*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9258 | 135.13*** |
| γleverage | 0.0714 | 3.98*** |
0.990
Persistence66d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0840 | 3.90*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0281 | 4.20*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9258 | 135.13*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0714 | 3.98*** |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
66 days
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