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V-Lab

Arcadyan Technology Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

39.75%

decreased by 0.76%

1 Week

39.64%

decreased by 0.87%

1 Month

39.31%

decreased by 1.20%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Arcadyan Technology Corp GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 30, 2007 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1913
12.76***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0495
12.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9156
233.32***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0035
0.53

Persistence:

0.967

Half-life:

21 days