Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
58.80%
decreased by 1.25%
1 Week
54.35%
decreased by 5.70%
1 Month
45.88%
decreased by 14.17%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 20, 2021 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 139% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8946 | 17.01*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3004 | 8.38*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6371 | 33.83*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1747 | -3.99*** |
Persistence:
0.850
Half-life:
4 days
Other Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co Ltd Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on International Equities