V-Lab
Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
36.28%
decreased by 2.76%
1 Week
37.23%
decreased by 1.81%
1 Month
39.36%
increased by 0.32%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 20, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 132% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6058 | 14.01*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2655 | 9.72*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7230 | 47.75*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1511 | -4.49*** |
Persistence:
0.913
Half-life:
8 days
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