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V-Lab

Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

58.80%

decreased by 1.25%

1 Week

54.35%

decreased by 5.70%

1 Month

45.88%

decreased by 14.17%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 20, 2021 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 139% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8946
17.01***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3004
8.38***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6371
33.83***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1747
-3.99***

Persistence:

0.850

Half-life:

4 days