V-Lab
Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
77.36%
increased by 27.82%
1 Week
72.38%
increased by 22.84%
1 Month
59.81%
increased by 10.27%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 06:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 20, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 116% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6567 | 15.04*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2706 | 9.33*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7056 | 44.71*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1451 | -4.02*** |
Persistence:
0.904
Half-life:
7 days
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