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V-Lab

Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

75.61%

increased by 4.55%

1 Week

72.92%

increased by 1.86%

1 Month

71.63%

increased by 0.57%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 20, 2021 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3978
4.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2746
3.52***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2153
2.00**
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ110.3782
3.10***
γ2-16.1016
-3.12***
γ310.5291
2.62***
γ4-8.5037
-1.73*
γ56.2278
1.38
γ6-3.3031
-0.93
γ7-0.7070
-0.17
γ84.4397
1.34
γ9-4.8001
-2.43**

Persistence:

0.490

Half-life:

1 days