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V-Lab

Esteem Co Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

108.35%

decreased by 0.43%

1 Week

107.52%

decreased by 1.26%

1 Month

104.49%

decreased by 4.29%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Esteem Co Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 6, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 38 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5234
1.03
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9818
0.55
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1134.9240
0.34
γ2-171.2156
-4.15***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

38 days