Skip to main content
V-Lab

Esteem Co Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

100.67%

decreased by 3.70%

1 Week

104.77%

increased by 0.40%

1 Month

105.99%

increased by 1.62%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Esteem Co Ltd AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 6, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = -10.00) so that positive returns raise next-day volatility more than negative returns of the same size. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and rare among risky assets.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

15.0000
6.35***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1635
7.40***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.1381
11.01***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-10.0000
-11.37***

Persistence:

0.302

Half-life:

1 days