V-Lab
Esteem Co Ltd GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
54.88%
decreased by 0.70%
1 Week
57.70%
increased by 2.12%
1 Month
63.72%
increased by 8.14%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 08:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 6, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.7776 | 0.95 |
| αARCH | 0.0820 | 1.19 |
| βGARCH | 0.8271 | 7.18*** |
0.909
Persistence7d
Half-lifeσ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.7776 | 0.95 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0820 | 1.19 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8271 | 7.18*** |
Persistence:
0.909
Half-life:
7 days
Other GARCH Analyses on International Equities