Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Esteem Co Ltd GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

54.88%

decreased by 0.70%

1 Week

57.70%

increased by 2.12%

1 Month

63.72%

increased by 8.14%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 08:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Esteem Co Ltd GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 6, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.7776
0.95
αARCH0.0820
1.19
βGARCH0.8271
7.18***

0.909

Persistence

7d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.7776
0.95
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0820
1.19
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8271
7.18***

Persistence:

0.909

Half-life:

7 days