V-Lab
Reliance Industries Ltd GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
21.85%
decreased by 0.71%
1 Week
22.71%
increased by 0.15%
1 Month
25.65%
increased by 3.09%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 08:01 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 58 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 58 days.
σ
GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 58-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0995 | 4.62*** |
| αARCH | 0.1079 | 7.42*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8803 | 63.71*** |
0.988
Persistence58d
Half-lifeσ
GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0995 | 4.62*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1079 | 7.42*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8803 | 63.71*** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
58 days
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