V-Lab
Reliance Industries Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
18.88%
decreased by 0.10%
1 Week
20.75%
increased by 1.77%
1 Month
23.75%
increased by 4.77%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 46% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1258 | 16.08*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7120 | 61.99*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0577 | 6.81*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0174 | 5.08*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0181 | 9.02*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9780 | 411.45*** |
Persistence:
0.867
Half-life:
5 days
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