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V-Lab

Reliance Industries Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

22.13%

increased by 1.15%

1 Week

22.90%

increased by 1.92%

1 Month

24.46%

increased by 3.48%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 10:07 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Reliance Industries Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.1255
3.71***
βGARCH0.7126
17.76***
γleverage0.0576
1.88*
λ₁tau intercept0.0172
2.44**
λ₂forecast adj.0.0181
4.79***
λ₃tau persistence0.9781
239.72***

0.867

Persistence

5d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1255
3.71***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7126
17.76***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0576
1.88*
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0172
2.44**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0181
4.79***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9781
239.72***

Persistence:

0.867

Half-life:

5 days