V-Lab
Reliance Industries Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026
1 Day
21.85%
decreased by 0.62%
1 Week
22.71%
increased by 0.24%
1 Month
24.48%
increased by 2.01%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 07:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1258 | 3.72*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7123 | 17.74*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0575 | 1.87* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0173 | 2.43** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0181 | 4.79*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9781 | 239.54*** |
Persistence:
0.867
Half-life:
5 days
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