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V-Lab

Reliance Industries Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

22.33%

decreased by 0.34%

1 Week

23.29%

increased by 0.62%

1 Month

26.49%

increased by 3.82%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 08:37 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Reliance Industries Ltd AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 48 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 48 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 48-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1100
4.45***
αARCH0.1147
8.05***
βGARCH0.8711
65.84***
γleverage0.2325
1.56

0.986

Persistence

48d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1100
4.45***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1147
8.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8711
65.84***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2325
1.56

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

48 days