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V-Lab

Reliance Industries Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

18.42%

decreased by 0.48%

1 Week

19.11%

increased by 0.21%

1 Month

21.50%

increased by 2.60%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:02 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Reliance Industries Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, volatility shocks have a half-life of 74 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.28 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

6.9354
4.83***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0778
43.31***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9907
517.63***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.2767
11.65***

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

74 days