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Reliance Industries Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

22.45%

decreased by 0.08%

1 Week

22.95%

increased by 0.42%

1 Month

24.76%

increased by 2.23%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 08:37 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Reliance Industries Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, volatility shocks have a half-life of 74 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.28 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.991, shock half-life ~74 daysv = 5.28 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst6.9156
1.21
αARCH0.0778
10.79***
βGARCH0.9907
129.11***
νDF5.2822
2.90***

0.991

Persistence

74d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

6.9156
1.21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0778
10.79***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9907
129.11***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.2822
2.90***

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

74 days