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V-Lab

APR Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

74.75%

decreased by 2.14%

1 Week

74.13%

decreased by 2.76%

1 Month

72.14%

decreased by 4.75%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:41 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of APR Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 27, 2024 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.09 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

17.0687
2.18**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0329
2.24**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9627
25.08***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.0862
0.60

Persistence:

0.963

Half-life:

18 days