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V-Lab
V-Lab

APR Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

68.33%

decreased by 0.12%

1 Week

67.76%

decreased by 0.69%

1 Month

66.59%

decreased by 1.86%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 11:32 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of APR Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 27, 2024 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.59 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-lifev = 6.59 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run17.4973
0.94
αscore0.0378
0.36
βpersistence0.8872
1.59
νDF6.5880
0.06

0.887

Persistence

6d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

17.4973
0.94
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.0378
0.36
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.8872
1.59
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.5880
0.06

Persistence:

0.887

Half-life:

6 days