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V-Lab

APR Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

61.36%

increased by 3.31%

1 Week

61.63%

increased by 3.58%

1 Month

62.39%

increased by 4.34%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of APR Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 27, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.26 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

16.2044
2.32**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0351
1.83*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9450
13.74***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.2625
0.43

Persistence:

0.945

Half-life:

12 days