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V-Lab

APR Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

70.55%

increased by 2.22%

1 Week

70.07%

increased by 1.74%

1 Month

68.59%

increased by 0.26%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of APR Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 27, 2024 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.23 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

16.5410
2.19**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0317
1.86*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9563
18.07***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.2306
0.46

Persistence:

0.956

Half-life:

16 days