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V-Lab

APR Co Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

69.37%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

69.37%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Month

69.36%

decreased by 0.01%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 07:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of APR Co Ltd SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 27, 2024 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, volatility shocks have a half-life of 76 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0055
6.14***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9909
34.67***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.1389
0.67

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

76 days