V-Lab
APR Co Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
64.13%
decreased by 6.63%
1 Week
60.70%
decreased by 10.06%
1 Month
56.77%
decreased by 13.99%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 11:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 27, 2024 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.9978 | 7.60*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1850 | 9.12*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5460 | 13.29*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0367 | 0.90 |
Persistence:
0.749
Half-life:
2 days
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