V-Lab
APR Co Ltd MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
64.75%
decreased by 6.78%
1 Week
60.98%
decreased by 10.55%
1 Month
56.84%
decreased by 14.69%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 11:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 27, 2024 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.1239 | 6.97*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2160 | 7.23*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5230 | 13.32*** |
Persistence:
0.739
Half-life:
2 days
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