Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

APR Co Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

64.09%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

64.09%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Month

64.09%

unchanged at 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 11:31 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of APR Co Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 27, 2024 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 51 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9311
4.15***
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9866
17.52***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0167
-0.28

0.987

Persistence

51d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9311
4.15***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9866
17.52***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0167
-0.28

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

51 days