V-Lab
APR Co Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
62.00%
increased by 0.97%
1 Week
63.08%
increased by 2.05%
1 Month
63.29%
increased by 2.26%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 08:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 27, 2024 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 4.97) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 14.3718 | 34.35*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0384 | 4.99*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 4.9687 | 7.59*** |
Persistence:
0.038
Half-life:
0 days
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