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V-Lab

Emaar Misr For Development AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

35.11%

decreased by 1.27%

1 Week

34.92%

decreased by 1.46%

1 Month

34.30%

decreased by 2.08%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 06:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Emaar Misr For Development AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 6, 2015 to Jul 9, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 20 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 20 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1412
13.78***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0613
17.33***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9042
187.09***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0538
0.68

Persistence:

0.965

Half-life:

20 days