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V-Lab

Emaar Misr For Development GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, July 26th, 2026

1 Day

30.82%

decreased by 0.52%

1 Week

30.96%

decreased by 0.38%

1 Month

31.41%

increased by 0.07%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 06:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Emaar Misr For Development GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 6, 2015 to Jul 22, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 23 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 23 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1302
10.47***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0521
9.16***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9083
151.89***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0193
1.77*

Persistence:

0.970

Half-life:

23 days