V-Lab
Emaar Misr For Development GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Sunday, July 26th, 2026
1 Day
30.82%
decreased by 0.52%
1 Week
30.96%
decreased by 0.38%
1 Month
31.41%
increased by 0.07%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 06:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 6, 2015 to Jul 22, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 23 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 23 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1302 | 10.47*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0521 | 9.16*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9083 | 151.89*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0193 | 1.77* |
Persistence:
0.970
Half-life:
23 days
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