Skip to main content
V-Lab

Bellini Nautica S P A GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

45.99%

decreased by 6.72%

1 Week

44.18%

decreased by 8.53%

1 Month

43.15%

decreased by 9.56%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Bellini Nautica S P A GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 15, 2022 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.2363
21.74***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3332
8.80***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2048
7.51***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0332
0.55

Persistence:

0.555

Half-life:

1 days