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V-Lab

Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

46.13%

decreased by 1.01%

1 Week

46.33%

decreased by 0.81%

1 Month

47.03%

decreased by 0.11%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 6, 1994 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 35 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 35 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2012
22.56***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0821
21.92***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8941
345.34***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0087
1.40

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

35 days