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V-Lab

Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

40.97%

decreased by 0.87%

1 Week

41.40%

decreased by 0.44%

1 Month

42.87%

increased by 1.03%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 6, 1994 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 35 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 35 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2014
22.60***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0824
21.96***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8941
345.48***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0080
1.29

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

35 days