V-Lab
Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
46.13%
decreased by 1.01%
1 Week
46.33%
decreased by 0.81%
1 Month
47.03%
decreased by 0.11%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:29 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 6, 1994 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 35 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 35 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2012 | 22.56*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0821 | 21.92*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8941 | 345.34*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0087 | 1.40 |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
35 days
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