V-Lab
Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
40.97%
decreased by 0.87%
1 Week
41.40%
decreased by 0.44%
1 Month
42.87%
increased by 1.03%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 6, 1994 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 35 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 35 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2014 | 22.60*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0824 | 21.96*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8941 | 345.48*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0080 | 1.29 |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
35 days
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