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Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

41.76%

decreased by 2.58%

1 Week

42.40%

decreased by 1.94%

1 Month

44.62%

increased by 0.28%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 07:31 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Ltd EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 6, 1994 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 22 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 22 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 22-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0760
6.31***
αARCH0.2022
9.70***
βGARCH0.9688
184.72***
γleverage0.0031
0.18

0.969

Persistence

22d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0760
6.31***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2022
9.70***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9688
184.72***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0031
0.18

Persistence:

0.969

Half-life:

22 days