Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Fresenius Medical Care AG EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 10th, 2026

1 Day

25.89%

decreased by 0.05%

1 Week

26.05%

increased by 0.11%

1 Month

26.66%

increased by 0.72%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 07:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Fresenius Medical Care AG EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 3, 1996 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, volatility shocks have a half-life of 79 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 365% more than positive returns

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.991, shock half-life ~79 daysLeverage: Negative returns increase volatility 365% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0146
1.07
αARCH0.0694
6.70***
βGARCH0.9913
186.90***
γleverage-0.0448
-2.88***

0.991

Persistence

79d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0146
1.07
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0694
6.70***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9913
186.90***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0448
-2.88***

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

79 days