V-Lab
Fresenius Medical Care AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
27.97%
decreased by 0.56%
1 Week
29.78%
increased by 1.25%
1 Month
31.11%
increased by 2.58%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:15 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 3, 1996 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 301% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0482 | 10.52*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6157 | 33.23*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1449 | 18.68*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0102 | 0.92 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0171 | 2.07** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9801 | 102.39*** |
Persistence:
0.736
Half-life:
2 days
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