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V-Lab

Fresenius Medical Care AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

27.97%

decreased by 0.56%

1 Week

29.78%

increased by 1.25%

1 Month

31.11%

increased by 2.58%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:15 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Fresenius Medical Care AG MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 3, 1996 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 301% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0482
10.52***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6157
33.23***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1449
18.68***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0102
0.92
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0171
2.07**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9801
102.39***

Persistence:

0.736

Half-life:

2 days