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Fresenius Medical Care AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

32.24%

increased by 4.60%

1 Week

31.70%

increased by 4.06%

1 Month

31.68%

increased by 4.04%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 06:36 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Fresenius Medical Care AG MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 3, 1996 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 281% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 281% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow26
αARCH0.0494
2.81***
βGARCH0.6115
9.10***
γleverage0.1387
4.22***
λ₁tau intercept0.0099
1.87*
λ₂forecast adj.0.0169
3.72***
λ₃tau persistence0.9804
193.87***

0.730

Persistence

2d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0494
2.81***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6115
9.10***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1387
4.22***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0099
1.87*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0169
3.72***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9804
193.87***

Persistence:

0.730

Half-life:

2 days