V-Lab
Fresenius Medical Care AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026
1 Day
30.63%
increased by 2.85%
1 Week
31.40%
increased by 3.62%
1 Month
31.33%
increased by 3.55%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 06:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 3, 1996 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 284% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0501 | 2.83*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6068 | 8.87*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1421 | 4.25*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0102 | 1.89* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0171 | 3.70*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9801 | 190.12*** |
Persistence:
0.728
Half-life:
2 days
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