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V-Lab

Fresenius Medical Care AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026

1 Day

30.63%

increased by 2.85%

1 Week

31.40%

increased by 3.62%

1 Month

31.33%

increased by 3.55%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 06:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Fresenius Medical Care AG MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 3, 1996 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 284% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0501
2.83***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6068
8.87***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1421
4.25***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0102
1.89*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0171
3.70***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9801
190.12***

Persistence:

0.728

Half-life:

2 days