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V-Lab

Fresenius Medical Care AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

30.07%

decreased by 1.90%

1 Week

30.18%

decreased by 1.79%

1 Month

30.02%

decreased by 1.95%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 08:41 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Fresenius Medical Care AG MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 3, 1996 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 284% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 284% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow26
αARCH0.0498
2.82***
βGARCH0.6089
8.96***
γleverage0.1414
4.25***
λ₁tau intercept0.0102
1.89*
λ₂forecast adj.0.0170
3.69***
λ₃tau persistence0.9801
189.61***

0.729

Persistence

2d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0498
2.82***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6089
8.96***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1414
4.25***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0102
1.89*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0170
3.69***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9801
189.61***

Persistence:

0.729

Half-life:

2 days