Skip to main content
V-Lab

Dongbang Agro Co MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

9.88%

decreased by 0.42%

1 Week

10.58%

increased by 0.28%

1 Month

12.19%

increased by 1.89%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 12:41 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Dongbang Agro Co MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 40% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2500
34.25***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6836
89.40***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0712
-7.19***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0022
4.28***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0232
9.03***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9768
358.85***

Persistence:

0.898

Half-life:

6 days