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V-Lab

Dongbang Agro Co MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

8.08%

increased by 0.49%

1 Week

8.81%

increased by 1.22%

1 Month

10.40%

increased by 2.81%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Dongbang Agro Co MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 43% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2492
34.11***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6869
89.78***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0745
-7.61***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0020
4.00***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0227
9.03***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9773
366.84***

Persistence:

0.899

Half-life:

7 days