Iris Metals Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
104.47%
decreased by 0.35%
1 Week
114.46%
increased by 9.64%
1 Month
120.78%
increased by 15.96%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 05:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 23, 2021 to Jul 10, 2026σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1253 | 0.17 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1253 | -0.18 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 7.7233 | 0.03 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.9339 | 0.17 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.063
Half-life:
0 days
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