Iris Metals Ltd GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
119.20%
decreased by 7.06%
1 Week
119.26%
decreased by 7.00%
1 Month
119.44%
decreased by 6.82%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 06:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 23, 2021 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.4558 | 4.89*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1045 | 11.96*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8525 | 67.60*** |
Persistence:
0.957
Half-life:
16 days
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