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V-Lab

Iris Metals Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

84.04%

decreased by 6.54%

1 Week

85.92%

decreased by 4.66%

1 Month

93.01%

increased by 2.43%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 08:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Iris Metals Ltd AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 23, 2021 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, volatility shocks have a half-life of 481 trading days (~1.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6763
10.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1670
13.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8330
111.64***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0029
-0.15

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

481 days