Iris Metals Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
101.62%
decreased by 8.04%
1 Week
105.63%
decreased by 4.03%
1 Month
113.63%
increased by 3.97%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 06:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 23, 2021 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 45% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5198 | 6.19*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2207 | 15.90*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8717 | 41.12*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0407 | 2.41** |
Persistence:
0.872
Half-life:
5 days
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