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V-Lab

Iris Metals Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

101.62%

decreased by 8.04%

1 Week

105.63%

decreased by 4.03%

1 Month

113.63%

increased by 3.97%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 06:08 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Iris Metals Ltd EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 23, 2021 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 45% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5198
6.19***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2207
15.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8717
41.12***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0407
2.41**

Persistence:

0.872

Half-life:

5 days