Skip to main content
V-Lab

Iris Metals Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

2,590.87%

increased by 834.27%

1 Week

2,588.28%

increased by 831.68%

1 Month

2,577.97%

increased by 821.37%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 08:51 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Iris Metals Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 23, 2021 to Jul 17, 2026
Illiquid Asset
Extended Optimization
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0003
10.31***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2747
635.82***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9990
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0002

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days