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Trust Finance Indonesia Tbk PT GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

337.74%

decreased by 51.57%

1 Week

348.20%

decreased by 41.11%

1 Month

386.20%

decreased by 3.11%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 09:03 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Trust Finance Indonesia Tbk PT GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 22, 2003 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.01 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Unreliable tails: v = 2.01 sits at the infinite-variance boundary
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst3,901.2776
1.85*
αARCH0.1083
23.46***
βGARCH0.9959
485.07***
νDF2.0086
3,381.44***

0.996

Persistence

167d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3,901.2776
1.85*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1083
23.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9959
485.07***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0086
3,381.44***

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

167 days