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Trust Finance Indonesia Tbk PT GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

294.62%

decreased by 44.88%

1 Week

304.71%

decreased by 34.79%

1 Month

341.13%

increased by 1.63%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Trust Finance Indonesia Tbk PT GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 22, 2003 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.01 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Unreliable tails: v = 2.01 sits at the infinite-variance boundary
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst3,171.3853
1.82*
αARCH0.1092
23.49***
βGARCH0.9957
463.56***
νDF2.0104
2,757.72***

0.996

Persistence

162d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3,171.3853
1.82*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1092
23.49***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9957
463.56***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0104
2,757.72***

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

162 days