V-Lab
Trust Finance Indonesia Tbk PT GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
306.02%
decreased by 4.28%
1 Week
318.93%
increased by 8.63%
1 Month
364.87%
increased by 54.57%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 08:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 22, 2003 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.01 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 4,348.2380 | 7.50*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1090 | 93.53*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9960 | 2,016.11*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.0079 |
Persistence:
0.996
Half-life:
171 days
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